Monday, February 2, 2009

Pre UFC 94

Georges St-Pierre v. BJ Penn
Winner: BJ Penn Technical Knock Out Rnd 3

Lyoto Machida v. Thiago Silva
Winner: Lyoto Machida Unanimous Decision Rnd 3

Stephan Bonnar v. Jon Jones
Winner: Stephan Bonnar Submission (Arm Lock) Rnd 2

Manny Gamburyan v. Thiago Tavares
Winner: Manny Gamburyan Unanimous Decision Rnd 3

Jake O'Brien v. Christian Wellisch
Winner: Jake O'Brien Technical Knock Out Rnd 2

Matt Arroyo v. Dan Cramer
Winner: Matt Arroyo Submission (Choke) Rnd 2

Chris Wilson v. John Howard
Winner: Chris Wilson Unanimous Decision Rnd 3

Jon Fitch v. Akihiro Gono
Winner: Jon Fitch Technical Knock Out Rnd 1

Nate Diaz v. Clay Guida
Winner: Nate Diaz Submission (Choke) Rnd 2

Karo Parisyan v. Dong Hyun Kim
Winner: Karo Parisyan Technical Knock Out Rnd 2


Lyoto Machida v. Thiago Silva:

Thomas Drwal, even in his loss, exposed that Thiago doesn't have the best cardio. Chasing Lyoto for three rounds is certainly going to be exhausting. Thiago might get tired enough for Machida to actually finish a fight, which he has only done when tapping Sokoudjou, the one of his past 5 fights that hasnt been a decision. While Silva is certainly capable of a knockout, not many people connect with Machida.

Nate Diaz v. Clay Guida

This will be a great fight. Diaz will probably hit a great triangle during a scramble in what would be fight of the night on any other card without competing with Penn vs St Pierre.

Other notables on the card are Dan Cramer making his pro debut in the UFC which is impressive as well as Stephan Bonnar returning after a long layoff due to injury.

and the main event...

Georges St-Pierre v. BJ Penn

This is gonna be amazing. St Pierre is going to look to control the fight with takedowns and steady ground and pound. He will not knock out or submit BJ and the only way he can stop the fight is if BJ gasses around rounds 4 or 5 and Georges gets a tko. A Unanimous Decision win by St Pierre seems the most likely result on paper.

BJ Penn has the potential to both knock out, tko or submit Georges the second he makes a mistake. His hands are fast and he hits very hard. Regardless of the outcome, BJ will win the first round with a hard jab setting up aggressive combinations. BJs flexibility and use of the rubber guard will also make it hard for GSP to posture up and deliver punches on the ground.

The big keys for a stoppage are BJs conditioning and Georges being able to pass BJs guard. Fight of the Night for sure and will be one of the best fights of 2009. While on paper I think GSPs athleticism and conditioning will earn him a decision (mayyybe late stoppage) my gut is telling me BJ is gonna connect within 3 rounds and wont stop till the ref pulls him off.

aaaaaaaand discuss...

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